Review the global 48-nation analytical matrix. Use this complete layout to trace each team's potential path, from preliminary group dynamics to ultimate tournament victory probability.
| Rank | Country | Group | Title Odds | Win Chance | Reach Final | Reach Semi | Reach Qtr | Win Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | Group H | +475 | 17.4% | 31.3% | 50.0% | 61.5% | 81.8% |
| 2 | France | Group I | +500 | 16.7% | 25.0% | 43.5% | 57.4% | 69.7% |
| 3 | England | Group L | +650 | 13.3% | 25.0% | 41.7% | 59.2% | 76.2% |
| 4 | Brazil | Group C | +800 | 11.1% | 20.0% | 35.7% | 54.5% | 78.7% |
| 5 | Argentina | Group J | +900 | 10.0% | 19.0% | 34.5% | 52.4% | 77.3% |
| 6 | Portugal | Group K | +1000 | 9.1% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 69.7% |
| 7 | Germany | Group E | +1400 | 6.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 43.5% | 75.6% |
| 8 | Netherlands | Group F | +2000 | 4.8% | 10.0% | 18.2% | 35.7% | 53.5% |
| 9 | Norway | Group I | +3000 | 3.2% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| 10 | Belgium | Group G | +3500 | 2.8% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 40.0% | 69.7% |
| 11 | Colombia | Group K | +4000 | 2.4% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 26.3% | 29.4% |
| 12 | USA | Group D | +6000 | 1.6% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 26.7% | 44.4% |
| 13 | Morocco | Group C | +5000 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 22.2% | 19.0% |
| 14 | Japan | Group F | +6500 | 1.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 20.0% | 28.6% |
| 15 | Mexico | Group A | +8000 | 1.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 22.2% | 52.4% |
| 16 | Uruguay | Group H | +6500 | 1.5% | 4.8% | 13.3% | 25.0% | 21.3% |
| 17 | Switzerland | Group B | +6500 | 1.5% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 26.7% | 51.2% |
| 18 | Turkey | Group D | +10000 | 1.0% | 3.8% | 10.0% | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| 19 | Ecuador | Group E | +8000 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 15.4% | 22.2% |
| 20 | Croatia | Group L | +8000 | 1.2% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| 21 | Senegal | Group I | +9000 | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 13.3% | 11.8% |
| 22 | Sweden | Group F | +10000 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 22.2% |
| 23 | Austria | Group J | +15000 | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 18.2% |
| 24 | Canada | Group B | +20000 | 0.5% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 18.2% | 34.5% |
| 25 | Paraguay | Group D | +30000 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 11.1% | 20.0% |
| 26 | Bosnia | Group B | +50000 | 0.2% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 10.5% | 21.3% |
| 27 | Scotland | Group C | +20000 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% |
| 28 | Czech Republic | Group A | +25000 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 3.8% | 11.8% | 26.3% |
| 29 | Ivory Coast | Group E | +25000 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 14.3% |
| 30 | Egypt | Group G | +30000 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 10.0% | 20.0% |
| 31 | Algeria | Group J | +35000 | 0.3% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% |
| 32 | Ghana | Group L | +30000 | 0.3% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% |
| 33 | South Korea | Group A | +40000 | 0.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 13.3% | 25.0% |
| 34 | Australia | Group D | +60000 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.9% | 12.5% |
| 35 | Tunisia | Group F | +70000 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 4.8% | 8.3% |
| 36 | Iran | Group G | +70000 | 0.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 9.1% | 18.2% |
| 37 | DR Congo | Group K | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% |
| 38 | South Africa | Group A | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% |
| 39 | Qatar | Group B | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% |
| 40 | Saudi Arabia | Group H | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% |
| 41 | Iraq | Group I | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% |
| 42 | Panama | Group L | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 43 | New Zealand | Group G | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% |
| 44 | Cape Verde | Group H | +100000 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% |
| 45 | Uzbekistan | Group K | +150000 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| 46 | Curacao | Group E | +250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 47 | Jordan | Group J | +250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% |
| 48 | Haiti | Group C | +250000 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% |